2026

Quantification of Credal Uncertainty: A Distance-Based Approach
Xabier Gonzalez-Garcia, Siu Lun Chau, Julian Rodemann, Michele Caprio, Krikamol Muandet, Humberto Bustince, Sébastien Destercke, Eyke Hüllermeier, Yusuf Sale
arXiv preprint arXiv:2603.27270, 2026
@article{gonzalezgarcia2026quantification, title = {Quantification of Credal Uncertainty: A Distance-Based Approach}, author = {Gonzalez-Garcia, Xabier and Chau, Siu Lun and Rodemann, Julian and Caprio, Michele and Muandet, Krikamol and Bustince, Humberto and Destercke, S{\'e}bastien and H{\"u}llermeier, Eyke and Sale, Yusuf}, journal = {arXiv preprint arXiv:2603.27270}, year = {2026} }
Verbalizing LLM's Higher-order Uncertainty via Imprecise Probabilities
Anita Yang, Krikamol Muandet, Michele Caprio, Siu Lun Chau, Masaki Adachi
arXiv preprint arXiv:2603.10396, 2026
@article{yang2026verbalizing, title = {Verbalizing LLM's Higher-order Uncertainty via Imprecise Probabilities}, author = {Yang, Anita and Muandet, Krikamol and Caprio, Michele and Chau, Siu Lun and Adachi, Masaki}, journal = {arXiv preprint arXiv:2603.10396}, year = {2026} }
Incentive Aware AI Regulations: A Credal Characterisation
Anurag Singh, Julian Rodemann, Rajeev Verma, Siu Lun Chau, Krikamol Muandet
arXiv preprint arXiv:2603.05175, 2026
@article{singh2026incentive, title = {Incentive Aware AI Regulations: A Credal Characterisation}, author = {Singh, Anurag and Rodemann, Julian and Verma, Rajeev and Chau, Siu Lun and Muandet, Krikamol}, journal = {arXiv preprint arXiv:2603.05175}, year = {2026} }
Instrumental and Proximal Causal Inference with Gaussian Processes
Yuqi Zhang, Krikamol Muandet, Dino Sejdinovic, Edwin Fong, Siu Lun Chau
arXiv preprint arXiv:2603.02159, 2026
@article{zhang2026instrumental, title = {Instrumental and Proximal Causal Inference with Gaussian Processes}, author = {Zhang, Yuqi and Muandet, Krikamol and Sejdinovic, Dino and Fong, Edwin and Chau, Siu Lun}, journal = {arXiv preprint arXiv:2603.02159}, year = {2026} }
Set-based vs Distribution-based Representations of Epistemic Uncertainty: A Comparative Study
Kaizheng Wang, Yunjia Wang, Fabio Cuzzolin, David Moens, Hans Hallez, Siu Lun Chau
arXiv preprint arXiv:2602.22747, 2026
@article{wang2026set, title = {Set-based vs Distribution-based Representations of Epistemic Uncertainty: A Comparative Study}, author = {Wang, Kaizheng and Wang, Yunjia and Cuzzolin, Fabio and Moens, David and Hallez, Hans and Chau, Siu Lun}, journal = {arXiv preprint arXiv:2602.22747}, year = {2026} }
Robust Predictive Uncertainty and Double Descent in Contaminated Bayesian Random Features
Michele Caprio, Katerina Papagiannouli, Siu Lun Chau, Sayan Mukherjee
arXiv preprint arXiv:2602.19126, 2026
@article{caprio2026robust, title = {Robust Predictive Uncertainty and Double Descent in Contaminated Bayesian Random Features}, author = {Caprio, Michele and Papagiannouli, Katerina and Chau, Siu Lun and Mukherjee, Sayan}, journal = {arXiv preprint arXiv:2602.19126}, year = {2026} }
Learning Credal Ensembles via Distributionally Robust Optimization
Kaizheng Wang, Ghifari Adam Faza, Fabio Cuzzolin, Siu Lun Chau, David Moens, Hans Hallez
arXiv preprint arXiv:2602.08470, 2026
@article{wang2026learning, title = {Learning Credal Ensembles via Distributionally Robust Optimization}, author = {Wang, Kaizheng and Faza, Ghifari Adam and Cuzzolin, Fabio and Chau, Siu Lun and Moens, David and Hallez, Hans}, journal = {arXiv preprint arXiv:2602.08470}, year = {2026} }
Quantifying Epistemic Predictive Uncertainty in Conformal Prediction
Siu Lun Chau, Soroush H Zargarbashi, Yusuf Sale, Michele Caprio
arXiv preprint arXiv:2602.01667, 2026
@article{chau2026quantifying, title = {Quantifying Epistemic Predictive Uncertainty in Conformal Prediction}, author = {Chau, Siu Lun and Zargarbashi, Soroush H and Sale, Yusuf and Caprio, Michele}, journal = {arXiv preprint arXiv:2602.01667}, year = {2026} }
Exact shapley attributions in quadratic-time for fanova gaussian processes
Majid Mohammadi, Krikamol Muandet, Ilaria Tiddi, Annette Ten Teije, Siu Lun Chau
Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, 2026
@inproceedings{mohammadi2026exact, title = {Exact shapley attributions in quadratic-time for fanova gaussian processes}, author = {Mohammadi, Majid and Muandet, Krikamol and Tiddi, Ilaria and Ten Teije, Annette and Chau, Siu Lun}, booktitle = {Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence}, volume = {40}, number = {29}, pages = {24414--24421}, year = {2026} }
Explanation Design in Strategic Learning: Sufficient Explanations that Induce Non-harmful Responses
Kiet QH Vo, Siu Lun Chau, Masahiro Kato, Yixin Wang, Krikamol Muandet
The 29th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics, 2026
@inproceedings{voexplanation, title = {Explanation Design in Strategic Learning: Sufficient Explanations that Induce Non-harmful Responses}, author = {Vo, Kiet QH and Chau, Siu Lun and Kato, Masahiro and Wang, Yixin and Muandet, Krikamol}, booktitle = {The 29th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics}, year = {2026} }

2025

When do credal sets stabilize? fixed-point theorems for credal set updates
Michele Caprio, Siu Lun Chau, Krikamol Muandet
arXiv preprint arXiv:2510.04769, 2025
@article{caprio2025credal, title = {When do credal sets stabilize? fixed-point theorems for credal set updates}, author = {Caprio, Michele and Chau, Siu Lun and Muandet, Krikamol}, journal = {arXiv preprint arXiv:2510.04769}, year = {2025} }
Computing exact shapley values in polynomial time for product-kernel methods
Majid Mohammadi, Siu Lun Chau, Krikamol Muandet
arXiv preprint arXiv:2505.16516, 2025
@article{mohammadi2025computing, title = {Computing exact shapley values in polynomial time for product-kernel methods}, author = {Mohammadi, Majid and Chau, Siu Lun and Muandet, Krikamol}, journal = {arXiv preprint arXiv:2505.16516}, year = {2025} }
Highly parallel optimisation of chemical reactions through automation and machine intelligence
Joshua W Sin, Siu Lun Chau, Ryan P Burwood, Kurt Püntener, Raphael Bigler, Philippe Schwaller
Nature Communications, 2025
@article{sin2025highly, title = {Highly parallel optimisation of chemical reactions through automation and machine intelligence}, author = {Sin, Joshua W and Chau, Siu Lun and Burwood, Ryan P and P{\"u}ntener, Kurt and Bigler, Raphael and Schwaller, Philippe}, journal = {Nature Communications}, volume = {16}, number = {1}, pages = {6464}, year = {2025}, publisher = {Nature Publishing Group UK London} }
Kernel Quantile Embeddings and Associated Probability Metrics
Masha Naslidnyk, Siu Lun Chau, Francois-Xavier Briol, Krikamol Muandet
International Conference on Machine Learning, 2025
@inproceedings{naslidnyk2025kernel, title = {Kernel Quantile Embeddings and Associated Probability Metrics}, author = {Naslidnyk, Masha and Chau, Siu Lun and Briol, Francois-Xavier and Muandet, Krikamol}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning}, pages = {45770--45800}, year = {2025}, organization = {PMLR} }
Truthful Elicitation of Imprecise Forecasts
Anurag Singh, Siu Lun Chau, Krikamol Muandet
(Oral) Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, 2025
@inproceedings{singh2025truthful, title = {Truthful Elicitation of Imprecise Forecasts}, author = {Singh, Anurag and Chau, Siu Lun and Muandet, Krikamol}, booktitle = {Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence}, pages = {3898--3919}, year = {2025}, organization = {PMLR} }
Bayesian optimization for building social-influence-free consensus
Masaki Adachi, Siu Lun Chau, Wenjie Xu, Anurag Singh, Michael A Osborne, Krikamol Muandet
arXiv preprint arXiv:2502.07166, 2025
@article{adachi2025bayesian, title = {Bayesian optimization for building social-influence-free consensus}, author = {Adachi, Masaki and Chau, Siu Lun and Xu, Wenjie and Singh, Anurag and Osborne, Michael A and Muandet, Krikamol}, journal = {arXiv preprint arXiv:2502.07166}, year = {2025} }
Integral Imprecise Probability Metrics
Siu Lun Chau, Michele Caprio, Krikamol Muandet
The Thirty-ninth Annual Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems, 2025
@inproceedings{chauintegral, title = {Integral Imprecise Probability Metrics}, author = {Chau, Siu Lun and Caprio, Michele and Muandet, Krikamol}, booktitle = {The Thirty-ninth Annual Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems}, year = {2025} }
Credal Two-Sample Tests of Epistemic Uncertainty
Siu Lun Chau, Antonin Schrab, Arthur Gretton, Dino Sejdinovic, Krikamol Muandet
International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics, 2025
@inproceedings{chau2025credal, title = {Credal Two-Sample Tests of Epistemic Uncertainty}, author = {Chau, Siu Lun and Schrab, Antonin and Gretton, Arthur and Sejdinovic, Dino and Muandet, Krikamol}, booktitle = {International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics}, pages = {127--135}, year = {2025}, organization = {PMLR} }

2024

Domain generalisation via imprecise learning
Anurag Singh, Siu Lun Chau, Shahine Bouabid, Krikamol Muandet
(Spotlight) Proceedings of the 41st International Conference on Machine Learning, 2024
@inproceedings{singh2024domain, title = {Domain generalisation via imprecise learning}, author = {Singh, Anurag and Chau, Siu Lun and Bouabid, Shahine and Muandet, Krikamol}, booktitle = {Proceedings of the 41st International Conference on Machine Learning}, pages = {45544--45570}, year = {2024} }
Looping in the Human: Collaborative and Explainable Bayesian Optimization
Masaki Adachi, Brady Planden, David Howey, Michael A Osborne, Sebastian Orbell, Natalia Ares, Krikamol Muandet, Siu Lun Chau
International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics, 2024
@inproceedings{adachi2024looping, title = {Looping in the Human: Collaborative and Explainable Bayesian Optimization}, author = {Adachi, Masaki and Planden, Brady and Howey, David and Osborne, Michael A and Orbell, Sebastian and Ares, Natalia and Muandet, Krikamol and Chau, Siu Lun}, booktitle = {International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics}, pages = {505--513}, year = {2024}, organization = {PMLR} }
Causal strategic learning with competitive selection
Kiet QH Vo, Muneeb Aadil, Siu Lun Chau, Krikamol Muandet
(Oral) Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, 2024
@inproceedings{vo2024causal, title = {Causal strategic learning with competitive selection}, author = {Vo, Kiet QH and Aadil, Muneeb and Chau, Siu Lun and Muandet, Krikamol}, booktitle = {Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence}, volume = {38}, number = {14}, pages = {15411--15419}, year = {2024} }

2023

Explaining the uncertain: Stochastic shapley values for gaussian process models
Siu Lun Chau, Krikamol Muandet, Dino Sejdinovic
(Spotlight) Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 2023
@article{chau2023explaining, title = {Explaining the uncertain: Stochastic shapley values for gaussian process models}, author = {Chau, Siu Lun and Muandet, Krikamol and Sejdinovic, Dino}, journal = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems}, volume = {36}, pages = {50769--50795}, year = {2023} }
Towards trustworthy machine learning with kernels
University of Oxford, 2023
@phdthesis{chau2023towards, title = {Towards trustworthy machine learning with kernels}, year = {2023}, school = {University of Oxford} }
Gated Domain Units for Multi-source Domain Generalization
Simon Föll, Alina Dubatovka, Eugen Ernst, Siu Lun Chau, Martin Maritsch, Patrik Okanovic, Gudrun Thaeter, Joachim M Buhmann, Felix Wortmann, Krikamol Muandet
Transactions on Machine Learning Research, 2023
@article{follgated, title = {Gated Domain Units for Multi-source Domain Generalization}, author = {F{\"o}ll, Simon and Dubatovka, Alina and Ernst, Eugen and Chau, Siu Lun and Maritsch, Martin and Okanovic, Patrik and Thaeter, Gudrun and Buhmann, Joachim M and Wortmann, Felix and Muandet, Krikamol}, journal = {Transactions on Machine Learning Research}, year = {2023} }

2022

Explaining preferences with shapley values
Robert Hu, Siu Lun Chau, Jaime Ferrando Huertas, Dino Sejdinovic
Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 2022
@article{hu2022explaining, title = {Explaining preferences with shapley values}, author = {Hu, Robert and Chau, Siu Lun and Ferrando Huertas, Jaime and Sejdinovic, Dino}, journal = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems}, volume = {35}, pages = {27664--27677}, year = {2022} }
Giga-scale kernel matrix-vector multiplication on GPU
Robert Hu, Siu Lun Chau, Dino Sejdinovic, Joan Glaunès
Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 2022
@article{hu2022giga, title = {Giga-scale kernel matrix-vector multiplication on GPU}, author = {Hu, Robert and Chau, Siu Lun and Sejdinovic, Dino and Glaun{\`e}s, Joan}, journal = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems}, volume = {35}, pages = {9045--9057}, year = {2022} }
RKHS-SHAP: Shapley values for kernel methods
Siu Lun Chau, Robert Hu, Javier Gonzalez, Dino Sejdinovic
Advances in neural information processing systems, 2022
@article{chau2022rkhs, title = {RKHS-SHAP: Shapley values for kernel methods}, author = {Chau, Siu Lun and Hu, Robert and Gonzalez, Javier and Sejdinovic, Dino}, journal = {Advances in neural information processing systems}, volume = {35}, pages = {13050--13063}, year = {2022} }
Learning inconsistent preferences with gaussian processes
Siu Lun Chau, Javier Gonzalez, Dino Sejdinovic
International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics, 2022
@inproceedings{chau2022learning, title = {Learning inconsistent preferences with gaussian processes}, author = {Chau, Siu Lun and Gonzalez, Javier and Sejdinovic, Dino}, booktitle = {International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics}, pages = {2266--2281}, year = {2022}, organization = {PMLR} }
Spectral ranking with covariates
Siu Lun Chau, Mihai Cucuringu, Dino Sejdinovic
Joint European Conference on Machine Learning and Knowledge Discovery in Databases, 2022
@inproceedings{chau2022spectral, title = {Spectral ranking with covariates}, author = {Chau, Siu Lun and Cucuringu, Mihai and Sejdinovic, Dino}, booktitle = {Joint European Conference on Machine Learning and Knowledge Discovery in Databases}, pages = {70--86}, year = {2022}, organization = {Springer} }

2021

Bayesimp: Uncertainty quantification for causal data fusion
Siu Lun Chau, Jean-Francois Ton, Javier González, Yee Teh, Dino Sejdinovic
Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 2021
@article{chau2021bayesimp, title = {Bayesimp: Uncertainty quantification for causal data fusion}, author = {Chau, Siu Lun and Ton, Jean-Francois and Gonz{\'a}lez, Javier and Teh, Yee and Sejdinovic, Dino}, journal = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems}, volume = {34}, pages = {3466--3477}, year = {2021} }
Deconditional downscaling with gaussian processes
Siu Lun Chau, Shahine Bouabid, Dino Sejdinovic
Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 2021
@article{chau2021deconditional, title = {Deconditional downscaling with gaussian processes}, author = {Chau, Siu Lun and Bouabid, Shahine and Sejdinovic, Dino}, journal = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems}, volume = {34}, pages = {17813--17825}, year = {2021} }
Kernel-based graph learning from smooth signals: A functional viewpoint
Xingyue Pu, Siu Lun Chau, Xiaowen Dong, Dino Sejdinovic
IEEE Transactions on Signal and Information Processing over Networks, 2021
@article{pu2021kernel, title = {Kernel-based graph learning from smooth signals: A functional viewpoint}, author = {Pu, Xingyue and Chau, Siu Lun and Dong, Xiaowen and Sejdinovic, Dino}, journal = {IEEE Transactions on Signal and Information Processing over Networks}, volume = {7}, pages = {192--207}, year = {2021}, publisher = {IEEE} }